Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#113
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#37
Pace75.7#40
Improvement-1.5#239

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#162
First Shot+0.1#178
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#117
Layup/Dunks+5.3#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#318
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement-0.8#217

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#82
First Shot+2.1#101
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#72
Layups/Dunks+2.9#63
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
Freethrows-3.4#334
Improvement-0.7#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 01 - 2
Quad 33 - 04 - 2
Quad 421 - 125 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 278   NC Central W 94-64 89%     1 - 0 +20.5 +4.2 +11.7
  Nov 13, 2019 300   Niagara W 89-80 91%     2 - 0 -1.9 +1.3 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2019 243   Drexel W 82-67 86%     3 - 0 +7.3 -7.4 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2019 30   @ Rutgers L 57-69 14%     3 - 1 +3.5 -6.6 +10.3
  Nov 26, 2019 3   @ Duke W 85-83 OT 7%     4 - 1 +22.7 +7.9 +14.5
  Nov 30, 2019 212   @ Arkansas St. W 76-57 64%     5 - 1 +19.4 -7.1 +24.4
  Dec 06, 2019 54   @ Alabama L 68-78 23%     5 - 2 +1.9 -5.1 +7.7
  Dec 14, 2019 247   Louisiana Monroe W 66-59 87%     6 - 2 -1.1 -1.3 +1.1
  Dec 18, 2019 342   Houston Baptist W 96-68 97%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +10.6 -6.3 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2019 289   @ McNeese St. W 81-73 79%     8 - 2 2 - 0 +3.7 -2.3 +5.5
  Jan 02, 2020 341   @ SE Louisiana W 82-71 90%     9 - 2 3 - 0 +1.0 +0.9 -0.5
  Jan 04, 2020 327   @ New Orleans W 87-68 87%     10 - 2 4 - 0 +10.9 +5.9 +4.8
  Jan 08, 2020 312   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-73 92%     10 - 3 4 - 1 -12.7 -3.7 -9.0
  Jan 15, 2020 296   @ Central Arkansas W 77-76 80%     11 - 3 5 - 1 -3.7 +2.1 -5.8
  Jan 18, 2020 345   Incarnate Word W 80-56 97%     12 - 3 6 - 1 +5.6 -4.1 +9.0
  Jan 22, 2020 286   @ Northwestern St. W 69-62 78%     13 - 3 7 - 1 +3.1 -9.8 +12.5
  Jan 25, 2020 248   @ Lamar W 70-62 72%     14 - 3 8 - 1 +5.8 -1.9 +7.7
  Jan 29, 2020 192   Abilene Christian W 71-61 79%     15 - 3 9 - 1 +5.4 -2.2 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2020 224   @ Sam Houston St. W 81-76 67%     16 - 3 10 - 1 +4.3 +9.6 -5.2
  Feb 05, 2020 209   Nicholls St. W 70-64 82%     17 - 3 11 - 1 +0.4 -2.1 +2.7
  Feb 08, 2020 327   New Orleans W 81-74 94%     18 - 3 12 - 1 -7.1 -4.9 -2.5
  Feb 12, 2020 312   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 75-67 82%     19 - 3 13 - 1 +2.3 -4.5 +6.3
  Feb 19, 2020 296   Central Arkansas W 83-68 91%     20 - 3 14 - 1 +4.2 -6.9 +9.1
  Feb 22, 2020 345   @ Incarnate Word W 80-56 93%     21 - 3 15 - 1 +11.7 +3.0 +9.1
  Feb 26, 2020 286   Northwestern St. W 90-59 90%     22 - 3 16 - 1 +21.0 +1.7 +15.8
  Feb 29, 2020 248   Lamar W 95-76 87%     23 - 3 17 - 1 +10.8 +13.3 -3.9
  Mar 03, 2020 192   @ Abilene Christian W 77-72 60%     24 - 3 18 - 1 +6.4 +5.1 +1.2
  Mar 07, 2020 224   Sam Houston St. W 68-57 84%     25 - 3 19 - 1 +4.3 -12.9 +16.4
Projected Record 25 - 3 19 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 69.8 28.5 1.6
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 69.8 28.5 1.6